THE WILLAPA FISHERIES RECOVERY STRATEGY

A Cooperatively Developed Plan for Improving the Sustainability of Salmonid Populations in the Willapa Ecosystem, Washington

FIRST DISCUSSION DRAFT

February, 1996

Developed in Cooperation
by,

THE WILLAPA FISHERIES RECOVERY TEAM
THE WILLAPA ALLIANCE
South Bend, Washington

Project Coordinator and Editor
Allen Lebovitz
Natural Resource Program Director
The Willapa Alliance


STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITY

This draft represents the efforts of the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team to craft a thorough and accurate strategy for improving the sustainability of the Willapa Ecosystem's salmonid populations. It also represents an extensive process to build partnerships between natural resource stakeholders and agencies in the Willapa Basin. However, this document is a first draft of the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Strategy and has been published to elicit discussion and comments from the members of the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team and other interested parties. It is not a final draft and substantive portions of the document may be changed per the review of the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team. Additionally, participation in the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team does not imply endorsement of all portions of this document by any member of the Team. Further review, discussion and revisions by the Fisheries Recovery Team must take place before endorsement may be declared by Team members.


ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This report was made possible through the generous support of the National Fish and Wildlife Foundation, the Forest Foundation, the Weyerhaeuser Company Foundation, the Sequoia Foundation, the Hugh and Jane Ferguson Foundation, Patagonia Inc., Wheelabrator Environmental Systems, Inc., WMX Technologies, Inc., the Compton Foundation, the Meyer Memorial Trust, and The Bullitt Foundation. Support which was instrumental in the completion of this project was also provided by Ecotrust, Pacific GIS, and The Nature Conservancy.

This project would not have been possible without the effort, insight, and dedication of the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team.


--- Table of Contents ---

INTRODUCTION
Background
Need for the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Strategy
Basic Principles of the WFRS
The Process and Participants
Problems and Goals Identification
Overarching Problems and Goals and A Mission Statement
The Technical Process
The GIS Database, Sources, & Data Collection

WATERSHED LEVEL ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

THE NORTH WATERSHED

THE WILLAPA WATERSHED

THE PALIX WATERSHED

THE NEMAH WATERSHED

THE NASELLE WATERSHED

THE BEAR WATERSHED

THE LONG ISLAND WATERSHED

THE LONG BEACH WATERSHED

ADDITIONAL RECOMMENDATIONS

DATA COLLECTION AND MONITORING NEEDS

IMPLEMENTATION OF THE PLAN

APPENDIX ONE - An assessment of fundamental production and harvest issues in the willapa basin

APPENDIX TWO - supplementary data tables

APPENDIX THREE - completed ecological processes and production and harvest matrices

APPENDIX FOUR - Glossary of terms used

CITATIONS


TABLES

  1. Table 1. Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team Participants
  2. Table 2. Willapa Fisheries Recovery Technical Group Participants
  3. Table 3. Ecological Processes Analysis - Salmonid Population Status
  4. Table 4. Ecological Processes Analysis - Potential Impacts
  5. Table 5. Ecological Processes Analysis - Impacts
  6. Table 6. Ecological Processes Analysis -Quality
  7. Table 7. Production and Harvest Analysis Matrix
  8. Table 8. Ecological Processes Analysis - Watershed Ranking
  9. Table 9. Production and Harvest Analysis - Watershed Prioritization
  10. Table 10. Ecological Process Analysis - Data Summary
  11. Table 11. Salmonid Populations Status - Watershed Comparison
  12. Table 12. Potential Ecological Impacts - Watershed Comparison
  13. Table 13. Ecological Impacts - Watershed Comparison
  14. Table 14. Ecological Quality - Watershed Comparison
  15. Table 15. Basin-Wide Salmonid Propagation Statistics
  16. Table 16. Production and Harvest Analysis Data Summary

MAPS

  1. Map 1. Willapa Basin
  2. Map 2. Willapa Basin Priority Watersheds for Restoration
  3. Map 3. Willapa Basin Priority Watersheds for Conservation
  4. Map 4. Willapa Basin Salmonid Population Status
  5. Map 5. Willapa Basin Potential Ecological Impacts
  6. Map 6. Willapa Basin Actual Ecological Impacts
  7. Map 7. Willapa Basin Ecological Quality
  8. Map 8. Willapa Basin Production and Harvest Prioritization
  9. Map 9. Willapa Basin Genetic Resources
  10. Map 10. Willapa Basin Current Harvest
  11. Map 11. Willapa Basin Production Balance
  12. Map 12. Willapa Basin Artificial Production
  13. Map 13. North Watershed - Map 1
  14. Map 14. North Watershed - Map 2
  15. Map 15. North Watershed - Map 3
  16. Map 16. Willapa Watershed - Map 1
  17. Map 17. Willapa Watershed - Map 2
  18. Map 18. Willapa Watershed - Map 3
  19. Map 19. Palix Watershed - Map 1
  20. Map 20. Palix Watershed - Map 2
  21. Map 21. Palix Watershed - Map 3
  22. Map 22. Nemah Watershed - Map 1
  23. Map 23. Nemah Watershed - Map 2
  24. Map 24. Nemah Watershed - Map 3
  25. Map 25. Naselle Watershed - Map 1
  26. Map 26. Naselle Watershed - Map 2
  27. Map 27. Naselle Watershed - Map 3
  28. Map 28. Bear Watershed - Map 1
  29. Map 29. Bear Watershed - Map 2
  30. Map 30. Bear Watershed - Map 3
  31. Map 31. Long Island and Longbeach Watershed - Map 1
  32. Map 32. Long Island and Longbeach Watershed - Map 2
  33. Map 33. Long Island and Longbeach Watershed - Map 3

APPENDICES

  1. Appendix 1. An Assessment of Fundamental Production and Harvest Issues in the Willapa Basin
  2. Appendix 2. Supplementary Analysis Data Tables
  3. Appendix 3. Completed Ecological Processes and Production and Harvest Matrices
  4. Appendix 4. Glossary of Terms


Mission Statement

The Mission of the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team is to develop a strategy for increasing and sustaining Willapa fish populations through the following actions; restoring and maintaining key ecosystem functions and processes fundamental to the biological productivity of the system; improving current fish propagation practices to allow the highest level of hatchery production compatible with the maintenance of natural productivity; and by improving methods for utilizing natural resources to secure the health and continued abundance of these resources while developing stability in the economic sectors which depend upon them.


The Willapa Basin Map 1.


INTRODUCTION

Background
The Willapa Bay Basin currently boasts of some of the healthiest salmon populations in Washington state. It is one of the few areas in which fishing for salmon was permitted during the 1993 - 1994 season while the majority of the west coast fishery had been shut down. However, these populations are almost solely dependent upon the production of fish through artificial propagation at the three state operated hatcheries located on the Bay. Naturally spawning populations, are not nearly as robust. The populations of these fish are relatively healthy when compared with the Northwest's other salmon runs, but showing signs of decline.

Additionally, there are significant differences between the conditions of the five species of salmonids which reside in the basin. In particular chum salmon, once the most dominant species in the basin are at only 40 percent of their historic numbers (Suzumoto, 1992). It is also speculated that steelhead and sea run cutthroat trout populations have also shown a serious decline. This is in contrast with overall population sizes of chinook and coho salmon which have actually increased in numbers over historic population sizes. This difference is largely the result of a combination of harvest and habitat related impacts which have affected all of these species, and a disproportional effort to enhance population numbers of chinook and coho salmon with hatcheries without a similar effort to propagate the other species.

The decline in naturally spawning populations of all species of salmonids and the increase in hatchery production has also come with a significant loss in genetic diversity and hence population diversity and resilience. It has also resulted in an increasing dependence upon hatchery production to maintain populations and commercial and recreational fisheries. The decline has also resulted in impacts to ecosystem health. The ecology of Willapa Bay has likely been dramatically influenced by these changes in the fish populations which are manifested in such symptoms as an explosion of burrowing shrimp which inhabit the extensive mudflats of the bay and reduce them to "shrimp barrens" devoid of most other species. It is believed that the once large populations of chum salmon may have been a significant control mechanism for these organisms. Other pieces of the ecosystem have also likely been affected by the loss of energy subsides once provided by thousands of salmon which were delivered across the landscape to the furthest reaches of the system's numerous streams directly providing nutrients to all levels of the trophic system. The decline has also resulted in reductions of harvest levels on all three salmon in an effort to protect the failing chum runs and also remnant naturally spawning populations of chinook and coho.

The history of Willapa salmon also includes a record of changing and sometimes inconsistent management policies and actions. Fisheries management organizations have instituted and abandoned numerous management strategies for Willapa's salmon as new goals were developed, different understandings of the ecology of the bay and salmon have emerged, and political tides have ebbed and flooded. These shifts in management strategies have resulted in losses to the resource and also the relationship between managers and resource users. It has also resulted in a myriad of uncoordinated projects carried out by both public and private groups which have sought to restore salmonid populations. Lastly, it has resulted in a severely polarized and antagonistic relationship between fisheries managers and user groups and local residents.

Need for the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Strategy
Historically there has been no basin-wide, long-term strategy to coordinate interconnected fisheries management activities throughout the Willapa Basin over time periods of ecological significance. The need for a comprehensive strategy for recovering salmonid populations in the Willapa ecosystem has been demonstrated through the history of salmonid management in the region. It is based upon a concern that remaining naturally spawning populations will be lost and that degraded populations are not currently likely to recover. It is also indicated by downward trends in harvest levels of chum salmon and the predicted decreases in harvest levels of chinook and coho. In short, a fishery which is not sustainable. It is also suggested because management decisions have often been made in with poor information and conjecture because of serious gaps in the information base resulting from the typically limited nature of resources available for decision making and management. A comprehensive strategy is also needed because of a pervasive lack of coordination among fisheries management groups at the federal, state, and local levels which has resulted in incomplete and transitory implementation of fisheries management projects. Lastly, a truly comprehensive process is needed to help bridge the widening gap between management organizations and user groups to establish cooperation in implementing truly effective fisheries management programs.

Another aspect of fisheries management in the Willapa Basin, and many other locations throughout the Northwest, that is currently missing is a mechanism for incorporating local input into management of fisheries resources. There is no avenue for translating a very significant body of information about the Willapa ecosystem and how it functions which is stored in "local knowledge" into management actions. A comprehensive management plan must incorporate this information and perspective. It is similarly important to incorporate local input into the development of management strategies if implementation of a management plan is ever to be achieved. A management plan which relies on forced compliance solely is much less likely to be successful than one which incorporates willing participation..

Basic Principles of the WFRS
Comprehensiveness
There are a series of basic principles on which this fisheries planning process is founded. The first is that such a plan should be a truly comprehensive one, defining its management unit as the Willapa ecosystem (hydrologic boundary of the basin). The plan must consider both ecological and socio-economic factors affecting fisheries management. It should be recognized that economic and social health is intimately tied with environmental health, particularly in natural resource dependent economies like that of the Willapa ecosystem's. The strategy must also consider ecological and socio-economic components of the ecosystem that go beyond the discrete boundary which defines fisheries resources considering in particular other fauna and flora and other natural resource extraction based economic sectors. The Strategy should consider other ecosystem functions and processes outside of the ecological interactions between salmonids and their niche.

A truly comprehensive fisheries management strategy must address all of the significant factors affecting the resource. This means that ecological, artificial production, harvest, economic, and social factors need to be considered. An attempt to address such a broad spectrum of issues can lead to an effort which is so diffuse as to make no forward motion. It can also be daunting from a professional perspective, with few people being capable of conceptualizing this range of issues. However daunting it is to consider such a wide range of issues, the reality is that the management "problem" or problems which a strategy for Willapa fisheries must address spans this range of issues and must be considered. Fisheries resources are as influenced by social and economic factors as they are by ecological factors. As much as it stretches the cognitive abilities of managers, a truly transdiciplinary approach is absolutely requisite for developing an effective management strategy.

Coordination
The strategy must foster local involvement and coordination and cooperation among resource managers and users. Management nearly completely driven by outside entities has resulted in management strategies which have become to some extent divorced from local priorities and the conditions unique to the Willapa Basin. By maintaining local input in the process, management plans are more likely to be closely tuned to local conditions and be consistent with local priorities while still maintaining priorities which are important to the greater "public" which has a stake in the resource. It is also crucial that the strategy serve as a vehicle for instigating and maintaining coordination and cooperation among groups working to manage fisheries resources in the basin.

Process
It is also recognized that "process" is as important as "outcome" in the development of the Strategy. It is recognized that participants in the development of the Strategy need to be representative of the various stakeholder groups in the basin and be involved throughout the process. The mutual exchange of ideas, information, and perspectives among participants is critical for fostering an improved understanding of management needs. This improved understanding should form the basis of the motivation for implementing the Strategy.

Integration of Local Knowledge and Science
Another central concept of the planning process is the integration of science and "local common sense". Frequently, management plans which are based in the most cutting edge science fall far short of their goals. This is often because the most basic elements of ecosystem management are missed or misunderstood. Even though a sophisticated understanding of ecosystem dynamics may be developed through scientific analysis, some crucial ecological process which can only be assessed through years of observation are overlooked. Also, basic human behavior and needs can be left out of the scientific equation, leading to un-implementable plans. To overcome this, local knowledge and opinions need to be factored into the management equation. The use of this type of information provides a significant challenge to science driven management efforts since it is often un-quantifiable information and frequently difficult to substantiate. There is however no doubt that innovative science plays a central role in developing management strategies. It is equally common to see plans based upon common understandings with a severe absence of quantifiable information. The bottom line is striking a balance between information gained through the use of the scientific method and common sense. Management strategies must be based on information derived through the scientific method, but then evaluated through a filter of common sense and local perspectives. The integration of science and local knowledge in addition to improving the reliability of management plans also serves as an important strategy for disseminating information. Building upon common perceptions with scientifically derived information is an effective method for explaining and supporting information on complex ecological process to non-scientists.

Adaptive Management
Another central tenant of the WFRS is that it must be an adaptive strategy. Generally, natural systems respond to management activities over periods of decades. Therefore management strategies must also be implemented over comparable periods of time. Initial management strategies must be based upon best available information and the implementation process begun with this basis with an intent to carry management out over an appropriate length of time. It is crucial that an information gathering program be implemented with all management activities. Each management program should be treated as a long-term experiment, an opportunity to learn more about how the ecosystem functions and responds to management activities. The information which is gained through these "experiments" should be added to the available information base and used to update management practices. This is an iterative process which continues over the life of the management plan, in which managers are constantly applying new information to implementation plans, learning from the results of this implementation and revising the management strategy to reflect new information. It is crucial that care is taken that this "adaptive" process is used to "learn" and improve implementation and not used as an excuse for implementation without information. "Adaptive" strategies are easily abused and diligence must be practiced to ensure that scientific rigor forms the basis of the planning process.

Cooperation
Lastly, it is most central to this effort to achieve implementation of the strategy through the development of consensus and cooperative action. With the immense scope of the management problem, the resources needed to manage the fisheries effectively are largely beyond the capacity of any one group or even collection of groups to allocate to the issue. Therefore, to manage such natural resources effectively, the resources of stakeholders and the general public must be leveraged for implementation. The enlistment of stakeholders in implementation is absolutely fundamental to successful management. It is argued that past reliance on regulation and forced compliance in natural resource management has been largely ineffective. Some compulsory management will likely always be necessary, but to effect management at the spatial and temporal scale that is needed, the willing participation of those who affect and are affected by the resource is crucial. It is also asserted that the development of consensus and cooperation is best achieved through stakeholder participation in the planning process. Involvement at this stage fosters "ownership" of or "buy-in" to management plans. It also provides a mechanism for transferring local knowledge to the process. Participation in the planning process provides a significant learning opportunity for all involved. When stakeholders have a hand in shaping management strategies and are participants in making difficult management decisions an improved understanding of why certain actions are necessary is developed. With an understanding of why these actions are necessary a marked increase in cooperation during the implementation of those actions is expected. Some induced compliance will likely be necessary when individual sacrifices must be great, but overall, the resources needed to enforce and police management actions should be greatly reduced.

The Process and Participants
The WFRS process was initiated in 1991 with an initial scoping of fisheries management issues in the Willapa ecosystem carried out by the Willapa Alliance with the assistance of Ecotrust and The Nature Conservancy. The scoping provided basic information on the condition of Willapa fisheries and identified the need for a process which would develop a comprehensive fisheries management strategy (Suzumoto, 1992). The Willapa Alliance took the lead as chief facilitator for the effort. Relying on fisheries management professionals and local stakeholders a series of initial meetings were held to solidify how the process should be carried out and who the key participants should be. These professional were organized as the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team and has taken the shape of a flexibly organized team of individuals who represent a wide range of perspectives concerning the management of fisheries resources in the Willapa Bay Basin.

A consensus process was identified as the preferred method for planning and a multilevel team approach, with one large policy level team and a smaller technical team, selected for implementing the process. The team structure was designed to foster consensus building while creating the conditions needed in order to ensure that the work involved in developing a plan would be carried out. All team participants do so voluntarily and without direct compensation for their efforts from the Willapa Alliance. Some participants are paid by their organizations but a number of members are self employed and donate their own time and expertise to the effort.

The larger policy team's membership comprises all of the key affected parties involved in fisheries management in the Willapa ecosystem. Their role is to select the agenda for the process, identify the key problems that the process should identify, and set the goals which the strategy endeavors to meet. The policy team also serves as a consensus building and educational forum for fisheries managers and stakeholders. It is comprised of representatives from all of the primary federal, state, and local management organizations, local user groups, industry, and conservation organizations.. Participating groups include the United States Fish and Wildlife Service, National Marine Fisheries Service, Environmental Protection Agency, Natural Resource Conservation Service, The Shoalwater Bay Indian Tribe, the Washington Departments of Fish and Wildlife, Natural Resources, and Ecology, the Pacific Conservation District, Willapa Bay Water Resources Coordinating Council, Pacific County, a representative from the local ports, Pacific County Economic Development Council, the Pacific County Farm Forestry Association, the Willapa Bay Gillnetters Association, Weyerhaeuser Company, Hancock Timber Resource Group, a representative from the local oyster growers, and representatives from two environmental organizations, The Nature Conservancy and Ecotrust. (Table 1)

A smaller, more strategic technical team was selected by the larger policy team to develop the specifics of the strategy for meeting the goals established by the policy team. This group is responsible for data collection, analysis and interpretation. A transdisciplinary group comprised of some of the policy team members and others was selected to provide professional expertise in riparian ecology and fish biology, geomorphology, forest management, hatchery operations, fish harvest management, and social and economic studies. Team members do not represent specific organizations but rather specific professions and fields of study. Members come from federal and state agencies, the commercial forestry industry, the fishing industry, universities, and conservation organizations. (Table 2)

Table 1. Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team Participants
Mark AshleyWillapa Fisheries Enhancement Group / Willapa Gillnetters Association
Pete BissonWeyerhaeuser Company
Ralph Boomer US Fish And Wildlife Service
Rick Brix Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
Michelle Brown The Nature Conservancy
Lonnie Crumley Washington Department of Fish And Wildlife
Mike Dickerson ShoreTrust Trading Group
Kent Dimmitt Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
Larry Dominguez US Fish and Wildlife Service
Brett Dumbauld Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
Bob Falkner Pacific County Farm Forestry Association
Chuck Gale Washington Department of Ecology
Mike Gross Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
Jerry Gutzwiler Weyerhaeuser Company
Jennifer Hagen Shoalwater Bay Indian Tribe
Pat Hamilton Pacific County Board of Commissioners
Tom Hedt Natural Resource Conservation Service / Pacific Conservation District
Chuck Hoskinson Weyerhaeuser Company
Rex Hutchins Washington Department of Natural Resources
Joe Krupa Trout Unlimited
Bob Lake Willapa Gillnetters Association
Steve LandinoUS Fish and Wildlife Service
Jack Listfjeld Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
Matt Longenbaugh National Marine Fisheries Service
Wayne Marion Hancock Timber Resource Group
Jim NevaPort of Willapa
Rachel Nugent Pacific Lutheran University
Marty Peoples Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
Norris Petit Willapa Gillnetters Association / The Willapa Alliance
Dick Stone Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
Dennis Tufts Bendicksons (Oyster Grower) / Willapa Bay Water Resources Coordinating Council
Jim WardWeyerhaeuser Company
Miranda WeckerWillapa Alliance / Willapa Bay Water Resources Coordinating Council
Katharine WellmanBattelle

Table 2. Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team - Technical Group
  • Mark Ashley - harvest management, fish culture, and local knowledge
  • Pete Bisson - fish biology and ecology, forest practices
  • Jon Bowers - GIS support and data management
  • Lonnie Crumley - fish ecology and fish culture
  • Mike Dickerson - economic development
  • Kent Dimmitt - fish ecology and fish culture
  • Larry Dominguez - fish ecology and habitat restoration
  • Kari Gardey - GIS applications
  • Jack Listfjeld - habitat restoration
  • Rachel Nugent - economics and sociology
  • Marty Peoples - estuarine habitat and local knowledge
  • Norris Petit - harvest management, fish culture, local knowledge
  • Dick Stone - harvest management, fish culture, and fish ecology
  • Jim Ward - geology, forest practices
  • Katharine Wellman - economics and sociology

  • Regular meetings of the policy team were held to establish the agenda and identify the problems and goals for the process. Policy team meetings have also been held to monitor the activities of the technical team and provide direction for their efforts. The technical team has met on a more frequent basis to collect, analyze and interpret data.

    The process of consensus building has proven to be a slow and time consuming one. A significant variety of priorities for fisheries management exists among the participating groups as well as an equally diverse number of perspectives on how management goals can be achieved. These differences in perspectives lead to an interesting diversity in assessments of what the primary problems facing fisheries resources in the Willapa Basin are perceived to be.

    Problems and Goals Identification
    The first task of the WFRT was to identify through a consensus process a complete list of the most important problems believed to be facing the health and sustainability of Willapa fish populations. The next step was to develop from this list a corresponding set of goals for fisheries management for addressing the identified problems. The initial perceptions of the "problems" facing Willapa fish populations were very diverse. The identification of problems and goals was accomplished through a series of meetings where opinions and available information were debated by the policy team. A number of versions of a description of the problems and goals identified by the team were developed and reviewed and rewritten by the team employing a winnowing process to consolidate perspectives and potential problems and to rule out others. A final draft was accepted by the team after approximately three months of work.

    The following is the complete Problems and Goals Statement developed by the WFRT.

    Problems and Goals Statement
    Assumptions
    The following assumptions were made to provide a starting point for the identification of problems and goals.

    Geographic Scope of the Strategy
    The focus area of the strategy is Willapa Bay and it's drainage basin. It is recognized that some of the issues which will be addressed by the strategy are influenced by elements which go beyond the boundaries of the basin. Such elements should be given consideration in the strategy but attention focused on efforts to be undertaken within the Willapa Basin.

    Terminology
    The terminology used by the team and applied in the strategy must be clarified and used consistently. There are differences of opinion regarding the best terminology and definitions, however, the team will use the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife Salmon and Steelhead Stock Inventory (SASSI) definitions to start since they have been clearly defined and relatively widely distributed. These definitions may be modified by the WFRT as needed as the strategy is developed. When drafted, the terminology used in the strategy should be precisely defined in the document. (Appendix 4)

    Historic Conditions
    When known, pre-industrialization watershed conditions and fish population sizes provide a useful reference point for establishing current habitat and population size goals. An understanding of historic conditions also provides a useful tool for designing habitat restoration. It is however not desirable to use a return to historic conditions as a management goal because of the following reasons. First, it is unclear what these conditions were. Second, because of the current status of local and regional resource conditions and circumstances, a return to historic conditions may not be biologically practical or desirable. Finally, current social and economic needs may not be served by a return to historic conditions.

    Prioritization of Resource Management Activities
    Availability of resources and opportunities for improving the status of fisheries in the Willapa Basin are finite. It is therefore imperative that the actions recommended by the strategy be as efficient as possible. To accomplish this the strategy should identify critical opportunities for intervention and prioritize the implementation of efforts which address these opportunities. This includes targeting "problems" which offer an opportunity for being solved, as opposed to "lost causes". Directing management efforts toward points of critical intervention may provide for a greater likelihood that implementation will have the desired effect on the resource, a greater likelihood of successful implementation, and also for increased efficiency from implementation efforts. The strategy needs to establish near-term and longer-term priorities for resource maintenance and restoration activities. It should target key ecological processes that underlay the productivity and health of the natural environment. The strategy will focus on restoring and maintaining ecological functions or processes as opposed to physical characteristics. The strategy will also focus on key opportunities to enhance and maintain the Willapa economy and the effectiveness of organizations working to implement sound resource management in the Willapa Basin.

    An ecologically and economically balanced fisheries recovery strategy should include efforts to both restore fish populations and ecosystem health but also seek to prevent further degradation of the resource. Maintenance of existing healthy, functioning watersheds and fish populations is often a more economically and ecologically efficient course of action than allowing degradation to occur and then implementing restorative activities to recover resource health. To this end, wherever possible (and ecologically and economically feasible) the strategy will seek to develop recommendations for activities which maintain current habitat functions and the health of fish populations in the Willapa Basin.

    Endangered Species Act (ESA)

    There is a significant likelihood that listing of various salmonid species as threatened or endangered under the ESA will occur in the near term. This bears importance for the WFRS in two ways. First, it will be important that developments which occur under ESA are closely tracked so that recommendations developed under the strategy comply with the Act, reducing the need for Federal intervention in resource management in Willapa. Second, it is unlikely that recommendations aimed at restoring salmonid stocks through habitat improvements will conflict with ESA requirements. It will however be necessary to track ESA developments to ensure that the required federal permits are obtained if activities are to take place in an area inhabited by a listed stock.

    Adaptive Management
    The team will need to base its recommendations for enhancement and restoration actions on the best available information, both peer-reviewed and anecdotal. The status of fisheries resources and habitat in the Willapa Basin has not been adequately studied and documented to provide the team with a satisfactory base of information. Therefore, the work of the recovery team must take place amidst a great deal of uncertainty. It is unlikely that thorough scientific analysis of the stocks and habitat will be completed in the near term. The team and the Fisheries Recovery Strategy will encourage the development of a greater understanding of all aspects of fishery resources and habitat. In addition to activities aimed solely at data acquisition and analysis this will require that management activities also include scientifically valid data gathering components to monitor the impact of management and improve the current information base. The team will review and analyze this information as it is gathered and refine its resource management recommendations and implementation projects to reflect new understandings which result from the analysis.

    Problems and Goals
    Chinook Salmon
    Problem Statement
    In general, there is a great deal of uncertainty about the status of naturally-spawning (n-s) chinook salmon stocks in the Willapa Basin. Data on n-s populations is insufficient to derive accurate estimations of population sizes. Wild Fall River chinook are classified by SASSI as being "depressed" and are the only population identified as being in a depressed or critical state. N-s populations are currently believed to be below desired levels. Hatcheries have become the dominant contributor to chinook production in the Willapa Basin. Our current understanding suggests that commercial and recreational harvest levels are dependent upon hatchery production. Genetic features of local chinook stocks have been altered by the introduction of brood stock from other watersheds. Little is known about the success of hatchery strays. It is probable that intra-species diversity is declining. It is probable that the size of adults is declining. The timing of adult returns is more compressed than that prior to the operation of hatcheries.

    Goals

    Coho Salmon
    Problem Statement
    The level of abundance of Willapa coho stocks is largely unknown and uncertain and additional data is not currently being collected. Data on n-s populations is insufficient to derive accurate estimations of population sizes. A petition for listing under the ESA all coho stocks on the west coast has been submitted and current indications suggest that some form of protective designation is likely. However, enough indicators suggest that there is a harvestable surplus of coho in Willapa and therefore a quota for commercial harvest exists. As with chinook, hatcheries have become the dominant contributor to coho production in the Willapa Basin. Current information suggests that harvest levels are dependent upon hatchery production. Hatcheries have effected the genetic makeup of Willapa coho through years of introducing fish stocks from outside the Basin. Little is known about the success of coho hatchery strays. It is also probable that the size of adults is declining and the timing of adult returns is more compressed than that common prior to the operation of hatcheries.

    Goals

    Chum Salmon
    Problem Statement
    Based on past harvest records, of all the Willapa salmonid species, chum appear to have experienced the greatest documented decline in abundance. There is more data on chum escapement than other salmonid species but more is needed to produce accurate estimations of population sizes. Hatchery production has had a much smaller impact on chum populations than on chinook and coho populations. Most chum enhancement projects were curtailed by 1989 due to budgetary constraints. The limited nature of efforts to enhance chum populations can be attributed to their classification as a low value species in spite of their vital importance in the ecology of Willapa Bay. Most current chum stocks are naturally-spawning runs and therefore average size and timing have not been altered significantly by hatchery influences. Harvest of coho has been limited in order to protect these n-s chum salmon runs. Indicators suggest that there is high quality chum habitat that is currently underutilized. There is no certainty about why the habitat is not being used. In some instances, there may be physical barriers to passage. There also has been a loss of habitat due to road and dike construction.

    Goals

    Steelhead
    Problem Statement
    Local, anecdotal data suggests that steelhead populations have declined significantly in number and in size. Populations are currently below desired levels. A petition for listing under the ESA all west coast steelhead stocks has been submitted and current indications suggest that some form of protective designation is likely. Spawning surveys have been conducted and continue to be conducted in the Willapa Basin but information on population status and trends is inadequate. Willapa steelhead populations have been enhanced using non-native stocks, but the impacts of these introductions are not known. The perceived decline in abundance is thought to be partly attributable to the extremely low rate of ocean survival. Offshore harvest may also be playing a part in the low rate of return.

    Goals

    Cutthroat Trout
    Problem Statement
    The population status and trends of sea-run cutthroat trout have not been documented. Local observations suggest a substantial decline in trout numbers. Habitat requirements of cutthroat trout are not well understood.

    Goals

    White Sturgeon
    Problem Statement
    Available data suggests that population levels of white sturgeon are currently sustainable. Information on population status and trends is inadequate. Scientists believe that there is one continuous population of sturgeon inhabiting the coastal region from Grays Harbor to Tillamook Bay and that there is little or no spawning outside the Columbia River. Sport fishing pressure has dramatically increased raising concerns about population resilience.

    Goals

    Fresh Water Habitat - In-stream, Riparian, and Watershed
    Problem Statement
    There is a lack of information on current and historic watershed/habitat conditions for most watersheds in the Willapa Basin. Information on watershed/habitat conditions exist but generally is not compiled in a way in which it may be utilized for watershed management. A number of categories of habitat degradation have been identified which include the following: (1) loss of suitable habitat due to land development, sediment inputs, altered hydrologic flow regimes, and lack of currently existing and future inputs of in-stream large organic debris (2) in-stream blockages which prevent salmon from gaining access to habitat (3) non-point pollution problems arising from nutrient loading (4) in-stream temperature problems related to reduced shade cover and low water flows.

    Goals

    Saltwater Habitat
    Problem Statement
    Studies indicate that Willapa Bay receives pollutant inputs from the Columbia River as well as increased fresh water contributions as a result of altered hydrologic processes related to the operation of dams. It is not known whether the effects of these inputs are significant. Some non-point source pollutant inputs to Willapa Bay originate from within the Willapa Basin but it is unclear to what extent these sources result in water quality impairment. Estuarine/shoreline land functions have been altered through a variety of land uses. As a result, fish habitat has been lost and it is likely that the estuary's carrying-capacity for fish populations has been diminished. As human populations have increased in the coastal zone, pressure for development near key saltwater habitat areas has increased. In addition, there has been a substantial increase in recreational uses of marine waters. Sediment input rates into the bay have been altered as a result of land uses. It is uncertain what effect these alterations have had on estuarine functions. Ocean conditions are believed to have important affects on salmonid survival but current information on how ocean conditions affect populations, how these conditions fluctuate over time, and the mechanisms which control these conditions is very limited. Also, the exotic weed Spartina poses a threat to the estuarine rearing and feeding habitat upon which Willapa Bay fish stocks depend.

    Goals

    Predation
    Problem Statement
    The effect of marine mammal predation on salmonid populations in Willapa is currently unknown. The extent and impacts of hatchery fish predation on n-s is not known. There is also uncertainty about whether other fish act as significant predators on juvenile salmonids.

    Goals

    Harvest Management Issues
    Problem Statement
    Salmonid harvest rates are likely to have a significant effect on the health of Willapa populations. The livelihoods of an important segment of the Willapa community depends on opportunities to commercially harvest salmon. Fishermen have been subjected to a complex series of restrictions that have made their businesses less predictable and reliable as a source of income. There currently are underutilized fisheries resources in the Willapa Basin.

    Goals

    Propagation
    Problem Statement
    There is no policy defining the long-term role of salmonid hatchery contributions to fish populations. Improved techniques for developing a better brood stock still need to be developed and implemented. Past hatchery practices have led to increased risks to salmonid population health because they did not consider: the conservation of genetic diversity and the role of natural selection, the role of more natural rearing methods in ensuring the fitness of individual fish, the relationship between hatchery releases and the carrying capacity of the systems into which fish were released, and the interaction between hatchery releases and non-hatchery produced fish. It is likely that the reduction of hatchery contributions on a wide scale would lead to a dramatic reduction in run size and a reduction of opportunities for recreational and commercial harvest. There is currently insufficient monitoring and evaluation of propagation activities for their effectiveness and impact on population dynamics and characteristics.

    Goals

    Institutional and Policy Issues
    Problem Statement
    There is presently no clear direction for managing salmonid populations to achieve the utilization of harvestable surpluses while ensuring that n-s populations are sustained. Inter and intra-agency coordination appears to be inadequate as harvest allocation decisions seem unconnected to both enhancement and habitat-related decision making. Cooperative and trusting relationships between local communities and agency decision makers have been missing in the past. There is a need for more implementation approaches that are non-regulatory and non-adversarial, such as education programs and incentives for best management practices. Regulatory activities rely too heavily on disincentives as opposed to incentives to achieve management objectives.

    Goals

    Socio-Economic Issues
    Problem Statement
    Threats to the health and vitality of the fisheries resources within the Willapa Basin create social and economic stress for the commercial and sport fishing sectors. They also create general instability for other resource based economic sectors and ultimately the entire Willapa community. A large percentage of the fish that is landed in Willapa is shipped out of the Basin without processing or adding value resulting in lost economic opportunities. Pressures on the resource are increasing as other areas' resources decline. Government agencies at federal, state, and local levels all currently lack the financial resources to assist small communities through periods of economic stress. Traditional approaches to harvest and propagation have led to legal obstacles to potential solutions. Current restrictions and laws inhibit the development of solutions to fisheries management problems.

    Goals

    Overarching Problems and Goals and A Mission Statement
    The overarching goal of the WFRS is to restore the productivity and sustainability of salmonid populations in the Willapa ecosystem. Another central goal is to restore the ecological balance of the system which these populations are an integral part of. Recovery includes the restoration of self sustaining populations of all five salmonid species over a distribution and at numbers similar to historic conditions. It also means the restoration of the historic characteristics and biological diversity of these populations. This recovery serves both ecological and socio-economic priorities.

    Another important goal of the WFRS is to secure a sustainable harvestable surplus of salmon for both commercial and sport fisheries. Fishing is an important economic and social component of the Willapa community. It is important that the economic benefits derived from resource use is maintained and ultimately improved. The economic and social benefits from commercial and sport fishing also provide an important impetus for maintaining the health of the ecosystem. In this way the productivity and health of Willapa's fish populations and its ecosystem in general is intimately linked with the economic and social health of Willapa's human communities. It is crucial to recognize this linkage in the development of management strategies.

    One of the key fisheries management problems identified is the lack of coordination among management efforts. This lack of coordination occurs between managers and resource users, within and between state and federal management agencies, between local management efforts, and between local management efforts and state and federal programs. It is hoped that through the development of a comprehensive strategy which involves all of the players in fisheries management, greater coordination and cooperation will be achieved. Also a lack of consistency among management efforts implemented by different organizations and also the same organizations has been identified as a significant management problem. It has been recognized that management efforts must be carried out over extended periods of time in order to realize significant ecosystem responses. Frequently management is not carried out over the long term or even simply followed through on. A goal of the WFRS is to institute a greater degree of consistency among management efforts over long periods of time. This consistency and longevity must however be carefully balanced with the "adaptive" approach. Subscription to an adaptive management approach should not be used to validate inconsistent and unfinished management efforts but more appropriately used in earnest to foster information gathering and learning and the updating of management practices.

    Lastly, as discussed in the previous section, the scope of the management problem requires an allocation of significant amounts of resources to implement effective management. It is beyond the ability of any one organization to make all the resources needed available. It is the goal of the WFRS to promote cooperation among all affected parties to leverage available management resources most efficiently.

    From this identification of problems and goals a mission statement was developed by the Team. The following is the final version of the mission statement adopted by the WFRT.. "The Mission of the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team is to develop a strategy for increasing and sustaining Willapa fish populations through the following actions; restoring and maintaining key ecosystem functions and processes fundamental to the biological productivity of the system; improving current fish propagation practices to allow the highest level of hatchery production compatible with the maintenance of natural productivity; and by improving methods for utilizing natural resources to secure the health and continued abundance of these resources while developing stability in the economic sectors which depend upon them."

    The Technical Process
    The list of issues and problem and goals statement developed by the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Team established a starting point and boundaries for developing an understanding of the factors which affect the productivity of Willapa's salmonid stocks and a strategy for maintaining and improving their sustainability. The Problems and Goals Statement was used to develop work plan for the Technical Team. The WFRT convened a group of experts, the Technical Team, to define an approach and collect the necessary data, complete the appropriate analysis and interpretation and develop recommendations for a strategy for addressing the problems and goals which they defined at watershed by watershed level. The Technical Team is a transdisciplinary group comprised of some of the policy team members and others selected to provide professional expertise in riparian ecology and fish biology, geomorphology, forest management, hatchery operations, fish harvest management, and social and economic systems. Team members do not represent specific organizations but rather specific professions and fields of study.

    The WFRT was kept informed and provided guidance to the Technical Team as it proceeded with the analyses, to assure that the resulting strategy was as responsive as possible to the full range of problems and goals identified by the WFRT.

    The technical process was initiated soon after the completion of the problem and goals statement and the development of a work plan. The technical team has met on a regular basis to evaluate available data on ecological processes and conditions, artificial production, harvest, and social and economic conditions and trends. The analysis has been organized using hydrologic watershed boundaries as management units. The available data has largely been compiled from state and federal agency databases and organized, stored and analyzed in a Geographic Information System operated by the Willapa Alliance. Additionally, GIS models have been developed for carrying out further predictive analysis with the available data. A severe lack of data on both ecological and socio-economic conditions has been discovered through the process. Modeling work with the GIS has helped to overcome some of the ecological data gaps, but many still remain, particularly for socio-economic conditions. A series of recommendations from this analysis focuses on priority data collection activities.

    Throughout the technical phase of the process, reports on the emerging analysis methodologies and results have been made by the technical team to the policy team. The purpose of these reports was to provide opportunities keep the policy team abreast of the technical process and to provide opportunities for policy members to comment on technical procedures to ensure that the technical process remains consistent with the direction set by the policy team. The reports also serve as tools for maintaining consensus and participation in the process.

    The Technical Team determined that its work could best be performed by breaking into three subgroups, each assigned to address one element of the mission statement: (1) ecological processes, (2) production and harvest; and (3) social and economic factors.

    Ecological Process Section
    The Ecological Processes Working Group was directed to propose recommendations that would address the first element of the mission statement and problem and goals: "to restore and maintain key ecosystem functions and processes fundamental to the biological productivity of the system." More specifically, it was asked to assess the relative significance of key limiting factors that are known to inhibit fish production. They were also instructed to seek information on historic conditions and define opportunities for improving and protecting the productivity of existing habitat

    The Ecological Processes Working Group decided to focus on two areas: (1) key limiting factors and (2) status and trends information. With regard to key limiting factors, it was important to work with measurable indices or reasonable surrogates. The group formulated an initial list of the most useful data layers that are available to inventory the basin and watersheds. Members were asked to look for sources of these data. The following information was thought useful: slope, soils, geology, instability; roads; surficial geology; hydrology; riparian forest conditions; canopy data; and fish distribution. The group also decided to divide the Willapa Basin into eight watersheds: the North, Willapa, Palix, Nemah, Naselle, Bear, Long Island; and Long Beach.

    The following analysis system was developed by the group to evaluate and compare limiting factors within and between watersheds. The system is presented as a series of matrices which employ a scoring system to compare and rank the indices evaluated for each watershed. Indices were identified to address current salmonid productivity, potential impacts to salmonid productivity, actual impacts to salmonid productivity, and salmonid habitat quality. All feasible parameters for assessing the various indices which could be identified are included in the matrices, but a number of these can not be currently evaluated due to the absence of data for these parameters. These data gaps form the basis for prioritizing future data acquisition activities. The parameters have not been weighted differently and contribute equally to the final evaluation. The results of the analysis were then used by the EPWG to develop management responses which in turn were adapted as management recommendations upon completion of the analysis of production and harvest and social and economic factors. The following is an explanation of the indices used.

    These matrices are presented on the following images.


    Table 3. Ecological Processes Analysis - Salmonid Population Status

    Table 4. Ecological Processes Analysis - Potential Impacts

    Table 5. Ecological Processes Analysis - Impacts

    Table 6. Ecological Processes Analysis - Quality


    Production and Harvest Section
    The Production and Harvest Working Group was instructed to address the second element of the mission statement and problems and goals: "to allow the highest compatible level of hatchery production." In order to fulfill this task, the group was asked to define and address the key concerns raised by artificial enhancement techniques, and develop a strategy to both strengthen naturally-spawning runs and provide a harvestable surplus for recreational and commercial fishing interests.

    The PHWG first developed a discussion of relevant harvest and production issues. A series of "opinions" based on the review of available scientific literature, professional experience, and local knowledge were then developed to address these issues. This discussion and opinion (as a white paper) was presented to the WFRT for review and comment and revised. It is presented as Appendix 1 for reference to the Production and Harvest Recommendations. The Production and Harvest White Paper was then used to develop a methodology for evaluating production and harvest conditions watershed by watershed throughout the Willapa Basin. The methodology developed was similar to that used in the Ecological Process analysis and employed a series of matrices for measuring and comparing a variety of parameters. The analysis evaluated genetic resources, production balance, current harvest, and artificial production. The PHWG then reviewed the data already collected by the Willapa Alliance (Suzumoto, 1992) and gathered additional information on escapement; artificial production and harvest. A method similar to the one used in the ecological analysis was developed to evaluate conditions. The results of the analysis were then used by the PHWG to develop management responses which in turn were adapted as management recommendations upon completion of the other analysis. The following indices were used.

    This matrix is presented in the following image.


    Table 7. Ecological Processes Analysis - Salmonid Population Status


    Social and Economic Factors Section
    The Socio-Economics Group was directed to propose a strategy "to improve methods for utilizing natural resources to secure the health and continued abundance of these resources while developing stability in the economic sectors which depend on them." That is, this group was asked to evaluate local attitudes and preferences, explore the impacts of alternative scenarios on the fishing industry and economy of the Willapa Basin, and seek opportunities for new enterprises that add value to fisheries products or improve operations that impact on fish productivity.

    This group collected all available data on the following: community preferences; investment opportunities particularly for value-added products; local economic impacts of the fishing industry; and the economic consequences of new policies. It was found that most of the data could not be broken down into the same watershed units used by the other groups. Much of the demographic and commercial information was gathered in connection with the US Census and thus corresponded to political jurisdictions. However, a watershed-based approach was used in devising the Growth Management Act (GMA) plans and would provide current indications of community needs and preferences. The team also gathered information on: the fisheries sector of the Willapa economy; recent professional evaluations of economic development opportunities; available sectoral economic impact modeling techniques.

    Currently an effort is underway to address these data needs. It is designed to evaluate what people feel is important about salmon in the Willapa ecosystem, and what they believe is an appropriate process for protecting and maintaining it. This process utilizes a study which is entitles "A Survey of Community Preferences for Salmon," and began by conducting focused small-group interviews of people in the Willapa Bay watershed who could be identified as representing a certain perspective. These groups have been called "stakeholders" and eight different groups were identified and interviewed: commercial fishers, sports fishers, farmers, local government officials, state and federal government officials, timber companies, farm foresters, and other resource users. We recognize that other stakeholder groups exist within the watershed and their input is also important to development of the recovery plan; however, time and budget necessitated an initial effort limited to eight groups.

    The study is being conducted by two members of the EPWG and a third researcher with considerable prior experience doing such studies. The project is currently in the middle of its initial phase. The initial phase is intended to provide a broad overview of values held by different stakeholder groups, as well as an in-depth understanding of the values held by commercial fishers for salmon, the trade-offs they consider to be possible and impossible for the industry to make as part of a salmon recovery plan, and the implications of those trade-offs for negotiation and compromise with other stakeholder groups affected by salmon restoration.

    It is hoped that in future stages of the Community Preferences Survey the researchers will be able to conduct the same in-depth assessment of the values and trade-offs of the other affected stakeholder groups. The results of that process can be used to create a detailed map of the feasible policy options for salmon recovery and restoration. Absent the knowledge of values and trade-off possibilities, there is no assurance that a scientifically feasible plan will be feasible under the social or economic constraints within the community. Thus, this study is a critical component of plan development, implementation, and success.

    Preliminary results show several interesting things about stakeholder values for salmon restoration and recovery in Willapa Bay. Two types of information were considered to be important to the invited stakeholder representatives: that related to the content of the Strategy, and that related to the process of constructing, disseminating, and finalizing a Strategy. It has also Been possible to discern through initial focus group sessions that stakeholders have objectives designed to achieve a certain end, and other objectives about the means of achieving it. The distinction is important to the construction of a salmon recovery plan because it provides an understanding of why stakeholders express certain values. Finally, the preliminary focus groups demonstrated that most of the groups hold many values in common, particularly as respects the end objectives.

    A list of combined stakeholder values-without weights or trade-off information-can be presented as illustrative of the issues that will have to be taken into account as the Strategy is developed. Five major types of values were identified among the groups relating to salmon recovery:

    No attempt is made at this stage to define clear lines separating these categories of values; the definitions will take shape as trade-offs and explicit monetary valuation are discussed. It will be possible in the next stages of this research to consider specific restoration actions and their implications for each of those categories of value, and the sub-categories that comprise them. Such information might tell us, for example, that certain stakeholders believe maintaining a certain run of Chum salmon in the Naselle River is of relatively higher priority (value) than achieving a full fleet of commercial boats in Ilwaco.

    Final results of this analysis process will be incorporated into the creation of the Willapa Fisheries Recovery Strategy. An analysis matrix has been designed to conduct a comparable assessment of these parameters which can be used in conjunction with the analysis' of ecological process and production and harvest conditions. However, given the current absence of data for running the analysis, the matrix has not been employed, but will be used once the required information has been developed. In the mean time, the information gathered through the Pacific County Comprehensive Planning process is used as a surrogate for the desired information. It is recognized that this data source may be somewhat flawed, but does still represent the best available data of its kind for the county. The analysis and recommendations presented below employ this information.

    The GIS Database, Sources, & Data Collection
    Among the assumptions clarified during the development of the Technical Team was the commitment to scientific objectivity as the basis for the Team's proposed plan. At the same time, it was acknowledged that there is little data to provide a sound basis of information on a number of key factors. Some of the data that is available is probably flawed. In addition, the careful observations of those who use the Bay and watersheds may be as accurate and reliable as scientifically-derived information. Management decisions must be made before data can be collected on all relevant and important factors. Therefore, the best approach is to treat each plan and each project as an experiment that forms a part of a larger evolution towards more understanding and better management


    WATERSHED LEVEL ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

    Willapa Basin Priority Watersheds for Restoration - Map 2
    Willapa Basin Priority Watersheds for Conservation - Map 3
    Willapa Basin Salmonid Population Status - Map 4


    Table 8. Ecological Processes Analysis Watershed Ranking


    Willapa Basin Potential Ecological Impacts -Map 5
    Willapa Basin Actual Ecological Impacts -Map 6
    Willapa Basin Ecological Quality -Map 7
    Willapa Basin Production and Harvest Prioritization - Map 8


    Table 9. Production and Harvest Analysis Watershed Prioritization


    Willapa Basin Genetic Resources - Map 9
    Willapa Basin Current Harvest - Map 10
    Willapa Basin Production Balance - Map 11
    Willapa Basin Artificial Production - Map 12


    THE NORTH WATERSHED

    North Watershed Map 1
    North Watershed Map 2
    North Watershed Map 3


    The North Watershed Description
    The North Watershed includes the North, Smith and Cedar River drainages and their tributaries. It is 228,953 acres in size and comprises the most northern section of the Willapa Basin. It is bordered to the north by the Grays Harbor Basin and to the south by the Willapa Watershed.

    Ecological Processes
    Analysis
    The North Watershed ranked near the bottom of the salmonid status evaluation of the eight watersheds, above only Long Island and Long Beach. This is primarily because of the low current productivity of chinook and chum and intermediate relative productivity of these species compared to other watersheds.

    The analysis of limiting factors which identified potential impacts to natural salmonid productive capacity identified the North Watershed as having an intermediate to low level of potential impacts, ranking 6th out of the 8 watersheds. Significant area and mileage of roads in high mass wasting prone areas presents a significant source of potential impacts.

    The analysis of ecological impacts completed for the North Watershed identified it as being the most highly degraded watershed of the 8, tied with the Willapa Watershed. Of particular concern to natural salmonid productive capacity is the prevalence of stream temperature excursions, access to available habitat, loss of off channel habitat, and particularly the loss of estuarine wetland habitat.

    The results of the analysis of ecological quality are consistent with the outcome of the impacts analysis and indicates that the condition of salmonid supporting ecological factors in the North Watershed are poor. The North Watershed ranked 7th out of the 8 watersheds, providing higher quality ecological conditions than only Long Island. Lower average stream temperature, adequate average dissolved oxygen levels, and the absence of toxins and pathogens are the factors which contribute most significantly to ecological quality.

  • Management Response
  • Restoration Priority: 6
  • Conservation Priority: 6
  • Production and Harvest
    Analysis
    The production and harvest analysis completed for the North Watershed identified it as a watershed with generally low priority salmonid genetic resources. Populations of North Watershed salmonids ranked relatively low priority as compared to the other watersheds. Chinook populations ranked the lowest of all three species in the watershed and also of all three species in the basin, tied only with Naselle coho. This is primarily attributable to the extremely high proportion of fish introductions from outside of the Willapa Basin and the high level of artificial manipulation of genetic characteristics through propagation and habitat alterations. Coho stocks also ranked very low priority, a result of intermediate proportions of introductions of fish from outside the Willapa Basin and a high level of artificial manipulation from propagation and habitat modifications. North chum however were identified as of intermediate priority, with all genetic sources coming from within the Willapa Basin and moderate to high levels of manipulation from propagation and habitat alteration.

    The current production balance analysis identified the North Watershed as being intermediately suited for management oriented to both harvest with artificial supplementation and ecosystem benefits maintained by natural production. Reduced natural productive capacity as a result of habitat alterations is the primary factor influencing this evaluation for all three species.

    The current harvest analysis prioritized the watershed as being of moderately high priority for producing harvestable surpluses. Chinook and coho populations are ranked as high priority and chum are of intermediate priority. Harvest effects and priority and suitability for selective harvest influence this result the most for all three populations.

    The analysis of suitability for supplementing production with artificial propagation identified the North Watershed as of intermediate to high priority for all three populations. This outcome is influenced by most of the parameters evaluated.

    Overall, the analysis of harvest and production priorities in the North Watershed indicates that conditions in the watershed make it suitable for carrying out programs to artificially enhance salmonid populations and sport and commercial harvests. The analysis also indicates that these activities should be balanced with the maintenance of the natural productive capacity of salmonid populations in the watershed.

    Management Response
    Production and Harvest Priority: 4

    The production and harvest analysis results for the North Watershed suggest that management strategies should strike a balance between the application of artificial propagation practices and the maintenance of natural production. It also suggests managing for a similar balance between sport and commercial harvest opportunities for all three salmonid species and the conservation of existing populations. Specific recommendations are:

    Social and Economic Factors
    Analysis
    The communities of Grayland and North Cove identify the following priorities: remain predominantly residential with clusters of commerce along SR 105, encourage agricultural activities (cranberries) east of the highway, and encourage recreational and open space areas and service activities. It is desired that Tokeland also remain a mixed residential/commercial community with industrial activities at the port area, recreational and open space facilities are encouraged.

    Land Use
    The protection of water quality and quantity, review of drainage, and flood control are identified as important issues.

    Existing uses are identified including: (1) forest land (generally located outside area but provide employment for residents) (2) agricultural lands (cranberry cultivation); (3) rural residential uses (most along highway & in beach plats); (4) commercial land (this area is primarily a bedroom community for Grays Harbor commercial centers but it plans to encourage more convenience retail shops in the area); (5) recreational land (beaches and a state park); and (6) education and public facilities (generally supplied by Grays Harbor communities).

    Identified Needs
    The following are identified as priority community needs:

    Agricultural Lands
    The following farming activities are carried out in this planning unit: cranberry farming, cattle ranching, hay production, and fishing. The farming and light industrial activities associated with farming are encouraged by the community as is the protection of cranberry farming from incompatible uses. The conversion of farm land into non-farm land is discouraged.

    Forest Lands
    The protection of existing forest lands is recommended. Conversion to residential development is particularly discouraged. Also unwanted by the community are harmful forest or road construction practices. A minimum forest lot size of 10 acres is suggested by the community.

    Recreational Open Space
    The improvement of existing facilities is encouraged. Public access to the Bay needs to be upgraded by improving the port's docks. Parking facilities along the beach are inadequate. Signs need to be improved to provide adequate protection of the privacy rights of beachfront owners.

    Public Facilities
    The need to improve the quality of the public water supply is also identified by the community. Public services may need to be combined in order to increase efficiency. Public sewer and water services are not felt to be adequate. Wellheads need additional protection. Water conservation needs to be pursued more effectively. Studies need to be done to assess the area's water quality. Coordination of the area's drainage system needs to be improved so that well contamination, road flooding, and submersion of septic tanks and drainfields are avoided.

    Transportation
    The area has one arterial corridor (SR 105) and several minor collector lines. Cars are the primary mode of transportation with no alternative mass transit option on the horizon. The Port of Willapa airport near Raymond will likely remain for private aviation purposes only.

    Housing
    Residential development should be based on the availability of water. The community encourages density only where public services are available. Specific priority needs identified through the process were: (1) the establishment of a sewer district; (2) improvement of the public water supply; (3) continued blending of appropriate commercial uses with residential uses; (4) a community sewage treatment facility; and (5) an assessment of the aquifer capacity for future growth planning purposes.

    Management Response

    Summary
    The analysis of ecological processes completed for the North Watershed has identified it as a relatively low priority watershed for ecological conservation and restoration given its currently degraded state and potential for restoration success. Innovative land use practices and restoration work can only improve the condition of the watershed, but given the limited nature of resources available for encouraging such activities, priority should not be placed on implementing them in this watershed before others rated at higher priority. The production and harvest analysis evaluated the conditions and priorities for the watershed as being intermediately prioritized for emphasizing natural production to support ecosystem benefits and artificial production to provide economic and recreational benefits. Lastly, the social and economic factors analysis prioritized the watershed for economic development activities involving fisheries resources.

    There is consistency between the three parts of the analysis and the management responses from each section should be implemented in compatible ways.

    Recommended Management Actions


    THE WILLAPA WATERSHED

    Willapa Watershed Map 1
    Willapa Watershed Map 2
    Willapa Watershed Map 3


    The Willapa Watershed
    Description
    The Willapa Watershed includes the Willapa River drainage and its tributaries. It is 167,740 acres in size and is located between the North and Palix Watersheds.

    Ecological Processes
    Analysis
    The Willapa Watershed also ranked near the bottom of the 8 watersheds evaluated for salmonid productivity primarily because of data indicating a significantly declining production of chinook and intermediate levels of production for the other two species currently and relatively among the other watersheds.

    The analysis of limiting factors which identified potential impacts to natural salmonid productive capacity identified the Willapa Watershed as having the highest potential for ecological impacts of the 8 watersheds. The Willapa ranked as highly at risk for all of the parameters measured. Essentially all parameters of potential impacts measure at high levels with significant amounts of the watershed in mass wasting prone areas, a preponderance of immature forests in riparian zones and throughout the watershed, an extremely high ratio of roads to watershed area, and potentially reduced nutrient levels due to salmonid carcass removal.

    Similarly, the analysis of ecological impacts identified the Willapa Watershed as being the most impacted watersheds of the 8, tied with the North Watershed. Of greatest concern is the frequency of elevated stream temperatures, loss of access to available habitat, loss of off channel habitat, and the loss of estuarine wetlands.

    The evaluation of ecological quality identified the Willapa Watershed's ecological condition as being in low to intermediate status, ranking 6th out of the 8 watersheds. The lack of pathogens, and toxins, contribute to the ecological quality of the watershed.

  • Management Response
  • Restoration Priority: 5
  • Conservation Priority: 5
  • Production and Harvest
    Analysis
    The production and harvest analysis carried out on the Willapa Watershed identified it as a watershed with intermediate to low priority salmonid genetic resources. Populations of Willapa Watershed salmonids ranked as intermediate to low priority as compared to the other watersheds. Coho populations ranked the lowest of all populations in the watershed and very low as compared to the rest of the basin's populations. This is primarily attributable to the high proportion of introductions of fish from outside of the Willapa Basin and the high level of artificial manipulation of genetic characteristics through propagation influences. Chinook stocks ranked moderately low as well, primarily a result of extremely high proportion of plantings with fish from outside the Willapa Basin and a high level of artificial manipulation from propagation activities. Willapa chum however were identified as of intermediate priority, with all genetic sources coming from within the Willapa Basin and only moderate to low levels of manipulation from habitat and propagation effects.

    The current production balance analysis identified the Willapa Watershed as being highly rated for management employing artificial supplementation except for chum populations. The ranking for chinook and coho is influenced by a number of factors including significant limits to natural production, high suitability of conditions needed for artificial production, and higher levels of economic sustainability for artificial production. The rating for chum populations is kept low by factors such as the poor economic sustainability of artificial production of this species, and the effects of the low potential for political support for artificial production of chum.

    The current harvest analysis prioritized the watershed as being of high priority for producing harvestable surpluses. Chinook and coho populations are ranked as extremely high priority and chum are of high priority. Harvest effects and priority and suitability for selective harvest influence this result the most for all three populations.

    The analysis of suitability for supplementing production with artificial propagation identified the North Watershed as of generally high priority for all three populations, but particularly for coho. This outcome is influenced most substantially by opportunities for improving existing facilities, separating run timing, and utilizing currently unutilized habitat.

    The general outcome of the analysis of harvest and production priorities in the Willapa Watershed indicates that conditions in the watershed make it highly suitable for carrying out programs to artificially enhance salmonid populations and sport and commercial harvests. The Willapa Watershed is ranked the highest for artificial production and harvest priority of all of the watersheds evaluated.

    Management Response
    Production and Harvest Priority: 6

    The production and harvest analysis results for the Willapa Watershed suggest that opportunities to maximize production and harvest should be pursued in this watershed. The Willapa Watershed is identified as being of high priority for providing harvestable surpluses. Specific recommendations are:

    Social and Economic Factors
    Analysis
    The communities of the Willapa Watershed have identified general goals for natural resource management which include: (1) conservation of forest and agricultural lands; (2) improvement of public services & housing; (3) improvement of transportation routes; (4) increased consistency of government regulations; (5) more equitable distribution of the area's infrastructure; and (6) support for the transition from family farms to family industries compatible with adjacent uses.

    Residential uses
    South Bend and Raymond are classified as urban areas in the watershed and the smaller communities of Willapa, Old Willapa, Menlo, Frances, and Lebam are classified as community growth areas because they do not have (and probably will not in the near future have) all the public services typically available in urban areas. The accommodation of residential development where water is available, and the slope and soils are appropriate is recommended by the community. The community desires a range of population densities and economic income levels in their watershed. There is also a call for improvement of various social services for the old and young in the area. The community also recommends a balance of development of compatible uses with protection of the environment. Education is seen as an important vehicle for achieving such a goal.

    Commercial Uses
    The communities want to maintain the existing small clusters of retail centers. They also seek to promote small cottage and home based enterprises and industries. Heavier industry should be directed towards existing industrial cores.

    Industrial Uses
    Community members desire the development of a heavy industrial park, preferably at the Port of Willapa. They also would like to encourage light industries to locate in their area, but want to avoid incompatible uses. Existing uses are to be protected from new uses that may challenge the rights of existing uses. To attract new development, the communities recognize the need to improve transportation corridors.

    Agro-forestry Uses
    Dairy, stock, hay and forestry are the major forms of agriculture in this watershed. The community identifies the following goals and policies as important:

    Recreational Uses
    Improvement of day use parks and the addition of parking for hunters and fishermen is desired. Another priority is the protection of private property from trespass by visitors.

    Public Facilities
    Residents want to maintain and improve existing public facilities including the water system and emergency services.

    Utilities
    A need to upgrade electrical service, water lines, and telecommunications systems is identified by the community.

    Housing Element
    Single family residences in the watershed's rural areas is desired. Manufactured housing is also deemed acceptable. It is recommended that multi-family buildings are located where urban services are available. The community asserts that water services and social services need to be upgraded.

    Transportation
    There is one arterial (SR6) in this watershed. In addition to automobiles, bus transportation is available between Raymond and South Bend. Dial-a-ride mass transit is available in the Willapa Valley. The airport in Raymond can serve private aviation only. There is no longer rail service in the watershed.

    Management Response

    Summary
    Similar to the North Watershed, the analysis of ecological processes completed for the Willapa Watershed has identified it as a lower priority watershed for ecological conservation or restoration given its currently degraded state and potential for restoration success. The Willapa Watershed does offer opportunities for improving ecological processes which affect salmonid productivity through innovative land use practices and restoration work, particularly relating to agricultural uses. However, like the North Watershed, priority should not be placed on implementing conservation and restoration activities in this watershed before others rated at higher priority. The production and harvest analysis evaluated the conditions and priorities for the basin as being highly prioritized for emphasizing artificial production to provide economic and recreational benefits. Lower priority should be placed on artificial production activities to enhance naturally spawning populations of fish. Lastly, the social and economic factors analysis prioritized the watershed for economic development activities involving fisheries resources and also sustainable agriculture in areas which effect fisheries resources.

    There is consistency between the three parts of the analysis and the management responses from each section should be implemented in compatible ways.

    Recommended Management Actions


    THE PALIX WATERSHED

    Palix Watershed Map 1
    Palix Watershed Map 2
    Palix Watershed Map 3


    The Palix Watershed
    Description
    The Palix Watershed includes the Palix, Bone, and Niawiakum drainages and their tributaries. The Palix Watershed's northern border is with the Willapa Watershed and it is bordered to the south by the Nemah Watershed. It encompasses a total of 38,453 acres.

    Ecological Processes
    Analysis
    The Palix Watershed ranked at the top of the salmonid productivity analysis because of its significant production of chum salmon. This productivity is however balanced by the apparently low productivity of chinook. The analysis of Palix system productivity is biased by the lack of data on other populations.

    The Palix Watershed was evaluated as having a low potential for ecological impacts and comparatively was only more at risk than the North, Long Beach and Long Island Watersheds. This ranking is largely attributable to the lack of mass wasting prone geology, a consistent supply of salmonid carcass derived nutrients, and somewhat more mature forests in riparian zones. Road sediments pose a potentially significant source of potential impacts.

    The analysis of ecological impacts identified the Palix Watershed as showing intermediate to more significant levels of impacts to natural salmonid productive capacity. Of particular concern is the loss of estuarine wetland habitat, loss of off channel habitat.

    The ecological quality of the Palix Watershed was evaluated as also being of intermediate condition. The availability of parent material for gravel production, limited reductions in access to available habitat, and the absence of marine pathogens and toxins contribute most greatly to watershed quality.

  • Management Response
  • Restoration Priority: 2
  • Conservation Priority: 3
  • Production and Harvest
    Analysis
    The production and harvest analysis completed for the Palix Watershed produced results substantially different than those for the North and Willapa. The Palix is identified as having salmonid populations with high to moderate priority salmonid genetic resources. Populations of Palix Watershed salmonids ranked as relatively high priority as compared to the other watersheds in the basin. Chum populations ranked the highest of all populations in the watershed and high as well compared to the rest of the basin's populations. This rating is attributable to the low proportion of introductions of fish from outside of the Willapa Basin and the low level of artificial manipulation of genetic characteristics as a result of propagation influences. Coho stocks rated moderately high priority as well, primarily a result of the low level of artificial manipulation from propagation activities. Palix chinook were identified as of intermediate to low priority, with a very high proportion of fish introductions coming from outside the Willapa Basin but low levels of manipulation from habitat and propagation activities.

    The production balance analysis identified the Palix Watershed as being rated as low to intermediate for management employing artificial supplementation. The chinook and coho ratings are influenced by most of the parameters evaluated, all being scored as low to intermediate for artificial supplementation. The rating for chum populations is generally low except for limits to natural productivity.

    The current harvest analysis prioritized the watershed as being of intermediate to low priority for producing harvestable surpluses. Chinook and coho populations are ranked as moderately high priority but chum populations are rated as extremely low. Low harvest effects and priority and low suitability for selective harvest influence this result for all three populations.

    The analysis of suitability for supplementing production with artificial propagation identified the Palix Watershed as of low priority for all three populations and particularly for chum. This outcome is influenced primarily by the high potential for impacts to naturally producing stocks, no opportunities for capitalizing on existing propagation infrastructure and generally full utilization of available habitat.

    The outcome of the analysis of harvest and production priorities in the Palix Watershed indicates that the watershed is not suitable for carrying out programs to artificially enhance salmonid populations or to provide harvestable surpluses. The Palix Watershed is ranked as extremely low priority for artificial production and harvest as compared to the other watersheds evaluated.

    Management Response
    Production and Harvest Priority: 2

    The production and harvest analysis results for the Palix Watershed suggest that natural production and protection of genetic resources should be focused on in the watershed. Artificial production activities should not be carried out in the watershed and commercial harvest should be limited. Limited sport harvests may be acceptable. Specific recommendations are:

    Social and Economic Factors
    Analysis
    The communities of the Palix Watershed identify their watershed as one which has a thriving fishing and oyster industry. They identify the following general natural resource management goals: (1) prevent development sprawl; (2) encourage adequate transportation; (3) provide affordable housing; (4) promote economic development where appropriate services exist; (5) upgrade and maintain recreational facilities; (6) protect natural resources; (7) protect the environment; and (8) preserve historic sites.

    Land Use Element
    The Palix community expresses a desire to preserve its traditional mix of residential and commercial uses. Among the primary economic sectors in Bay Center are cattle ranching, timber production, tourism, and the fishing and shellfish industries. It is desired that residential growth be direct